Hand Analysis with Coach Commentary #2 – Playing Small Pocket Pairs

Hand Description

Watch the replay of the hand if you want to follow along at home.

Stakes: $0.05 / $0.10 NL Hold’em (6-max)

Session note: This hand occurred 32 hands into the session. I had been playing tight-aggressive, voluntarily entering only one pot prior to this hand (won preflop with a raise).

Hero: VoightKampf

Stack: $10.03

Sitting in the cutoff, I was dealt 3♦ 3♥.

Preflop

The Hijack player limped.

I raised to $0.20.

The Button called behind me

Both Blinds folded.

The Hijack called.

We went to the flop 3 handed

Flop ($0.65)

7♦ 7♠ 8♦

The Hijack checked to me.

I checked.

The button checked behind.

We went to the turn 3 handed

Turn ($0.65)

5♥

The Hijack checked.

I checked.

The Button bet $0.45.

The Hijack called.

I folded.

River (uncontested by Hero)

4♥

Bet and raise occurred between the remaining players.

Hands were shown:

  • Caller: 2♠ 6♣
  • Bettor: 6♥ 7♥

Coach Analysis

Hand Breakdown — What You Misplayed and Why

Let’s start with the most important thing:

👉 Your fold on the turn is correct.

You did not make a big mistake here.

This is a good hand to analyze because it shows discipline, but also reveals where EV is being left on the table earlier.

Preflop: Slightly Too Passive, But Not a Punt

You raised pocket threes after a limp. That’s fine.

However:

  • Raise size to $0.20 is on the small side
  • You allow multiple callers
  • You go to a flop out of position, multiway, with a small pair

Better Option

Raise to $0.30–$0.35 here.

Why?

  • You isolate more often
  • You reduce multiway variance
  • You keep initiative clearer

This isn’t a major error — just a small optimization.

Flop: The Missed Opportunity (Key Learning Spot)

Board: 7♦ 7♠ 8♦

Pot: $0.65

This is the most interesting street.

You checked. That feels “safe,” but let’s examine it.

Why This Is a Good C-Bet Spot

  • Paired board heavily favors the preflop raiser
  • Limp-callers rarely have trips
  • You have range advantage
  • A small bet folds out:
    • Ace-high
    • Overcards
    • Weak pairs
    • Gutshots without diamonds

A small c-bet (⅓ pot, ~$0.20) prints money here.

By checking, you:

  • Give free cards
  • Invite multiway realization
  • Lose initiative
  • Turn your hand face-up as “small pair / give up”

This is a classic missed low-risk, high-EV continuation bet.

Turn: The Fold Is Correct

After the turn 5♥, you check again.

Now the button bets $0.45 into $0.65 with a caller.

This is where your earlier self-diagnosis shines.

Ask the right question:

“What worse hands are betting here?”

Very few.

  • Random overcards? No.
  • Bluffs? Rare at microstakes.
  • Draws? Maybe, but usually diamonds bet flop.

This is value-heavy, multiway aggression.

Your fold is:

✔ Disciplined

✔ Correct

✔ Exactly what you said you want to improve at

Nice job.

The Big Leak This Hand Reveals (Subtle but Important)

This isn’t about calling too much.

It’s about failing to leverage aggression when you have the advantage.

You:

  • Raised preflop
  • Had range advantage on the flop
  • Checked twice
  • Ended up folding a hand that could have won the pot cheaply

That’s passive EV loss, not spew.

What You Should Take Forward From This Hand

1️⃣ Pocket Pairs Aren’t Just for Set Mining

On paired, dry boards:

  • You don’t need to hit a set
  • You need to represent strength

Small bets win small pots — and those add up fast.

2️⃣ Initiative Is a Weapon

Once you check twice:

  • Villains sense weakness
  • Any bet puts you in a guessing game

You didn’t misplay the fold — you misplayed the lead-up.

3️⃣ This Hand Shows Growth

This is important:

You:

  • Didn’t hero-call
  • Didn’t “see one more card”
  • Folded correctly to pressure

That’s a net positive session decision, even though you lost the pot

Followup Question

What would have been a “better” raise than simply 2 times the BB?


Followup Answer

Short answer first, then the why.

The Better Raise Size (Clear & Actionable)

In this spot, a better raise would have been:

$0.30–$0.40 (3×–4× the big blind)

Instead of $0.20 (2× BB).

Why 2× BB Is Too Small Here

Your raise wasn’t wrong, but it was sub-optimal given the situation.

Context Matters:

  • There was already a limper
  • You were out of position
  • You were holding a hand that wants folds OR isolation

A 2× raise:

  • Gives excellent odds to call
  • Invites multiple callers
  • Fails to isolate the limper

At microstakes, players do not punish small raises — they welcome them.

The Correct Microstakes Formula

Here’s a simple rule you can apply immediately:

Raise size = 3× BB + 1 BB per limper

In your hand:

  • BB = $0.10
  • 1 limper

So:

  • 3× BB = $0.30
  • +1 BB for the limper = $0.40

That’s the ideal raise size.

What This Accomplishes

Raising to $0.40:

  • Isolates more often
  • Reduces multiway pots
  • Makes c-betting more effective
  • Builds a pot when you hit a set

You’re not trying to be fancy — you’re trying to make poker easier.

“But Isn’t That Too Big for 33?”

No — and this is important.

You are not raising because you have 33.

You are raising because:

  • Someone limped
  • You want initiative
  • You want to punish passivity

Your hand strength does not dictate raise size here.

The Raise Size You Should Standardize

To keep things simple and consistent:

  • Unopened pot (no limpers): 2.5×–3× BB
  • Vs 1 limper: 4× BB
  • Vs 2 limpers: 5× BB

Consistency prevents tells and improves results.

How This Ties Back to Your Leak

Small raises → more callers → more “guessing” → more calling later.

Bigger raises:

  • Force decisions
  • Create fold equity
  • Reduce temptation to “see one more card”

That directly attacks your main leak.

One-Line Takeaway

If I’m raising to $0.20 at $0.05/$0.10, I’m inviting trouble.

Bump it up, simplify the hand, and let the table make mistake